This would definitely be a bad blow to Tom McClintock's campaign.
There is also this CNN/Gallup/USA Today poll showing that Davis is in serious trouble. Of probable voters 63% favor removing Davis from office.
Davis has failed to maintain the allegiance of his own party. A full 44% of Democrats in California say they disapprove of Davis' performance as governor. While this is much lower than the 77% of independents and 92% of Republicans who disapprove, it is far from the more typical picture in which the sentiment about an elected official between members of the two parties forms a mirror image -- i.e., that as many members of the politician's own party approve as members of the opposite party disapprove. Additionally, as will be seen below, about 3 out of 10 Democrats say they will vote to recall the governor.
This is where having a Republican who is a moderate or even somewhat liberal on social issues and conservative on fiscal issues is key. For many Democrats, it seems to me, that the social issues are important (abortion, gay rights, etc.). Thus, Arnold can expect some support from Democrats who are tired of the same old crap. McClintock wont get nearly as much support.
Posted by Steve at September 29, 2003 10:55 AM